Knowledge, climate and system change risks. A shitty ag economists opinion
Our future challenges will be knowledge intensive. From food, consumption, to transport and fundamental industries.
All will change rapidly, knowledge allready is a big input in all these industries but this will only increase.
These new future societal demands being niche, will no longer always be based on old economies of scale.
Many expats have to write an outline in their grants about it, knowledge or innovation. But even though they are career professionals/experts and such. They often fail to see how much knowledge is associated with being a subsistence farmer.
From your daily to your seasonal decisions, all those processes are a result of knowledge regarding farming. Your planting decisions are not improvisation.
Every climate, region, plot, and farmer,…,…,..,…, will have his own rational for doing what he is doing, and most probably do things you never thought were possible.
One way i see this playing out in agriculture is that with climate change, for example weather being less predictable, and increase of risk vectors for the food supply chain. Good data collection to augment farmers knowledge processes will become a staple of many rural regions.
With iof (internet of food, there coined) sensor technology and data analysis. Farmers will have more information to guide their decisions. However, any solution that wants to benefit from this cannot forget that the primary asset here is the farmers knowledge.
Knowledge capital wise the farmer is the most important asset. He/She/They are making the decision. Not your boss 3 paygrades higer. Or the annual meet and great, of all cynical luminaries.
Will expats in Africa be able to adapt to a world were a 16 year old can make better plant breeding decisions than them? Or in other words if ai. and future opportunities converge between different people. It will be a hard adjustment for some. Knowledge compounds and is easy to share.